[ June 19, 2020 ]

Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Monchengladbach Preview

The Bundesliga is still going strong! The games are played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and we will have a fun contest on Saturday, when Bayern Munich hosts Borussia Monchengladbach.

 

Bayern Munich leads the Bundesliga by seven points with just four games to play. Borussia Monchengladbach is in fourth place with 56 points in 30 games, 14 points behind Bayern Munich. Bayern Munich defeated Bayer Leverkusen 4-2 on the road on Saturday while Borussia Monchengladbach lost 1-0 on the road against SC Freiburg last Friday.

 

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is in this matchup.

Betting Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

Bayern Munich: -286
Borussia Monchengladbach: +620
Draw: +420

Spread

Bayern Munich: -1.5 (-110)
Borussia Monchengladbach: +1.5 (-110)

Total

Over 3.5 (-110)
Under 3.5 (-110)

Key Points to Consider

Bayern Munich, coming off a 4-2 road win against Bayer Leverkusen, have six wins, zero draws and zero losses in their last six overall. Borussia Monchengladbach, coming off a 1-0 road loss against SC Freiburg, have three wins, two losses and one draw in their last six overall.

Momentum: Bayern Munich has been on an upward trend — winning their last nine games in the Bundesliga.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last met in Bundesliga action on December 7, 2019 and Borussia Monchengladbach won 2-1.

Projected Leaders

Simulations I have run project Serge Gnabry, Leon Goretzka and Alassane Plea as the players most likely to score (the first two players are from Bayern Munich).

Robert Lewandowski and Thomas Müller received their fifth yellow card in last weekend’s 4-2 win against Bayer Leverkusen and will miss this contest, which is why I really like the Under, with Bayern Munich missing their two best players. Lewandowski is the top scorer in the Bundesliga with 30 goals and Müller set a Bundesliga single-season record with 20 assists. I see Bayern Munich winning but there’s no value on the moneyline.

Free Soccer Pick: Under 3.5 (-110)

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